Anthropic Releases AI Economic Scenario Model: Extreme Case Projects 15% Annual GDP Growth but Labor Share Falling to 45.2%
Anthropic's economics team has released an interactive Econ Scenario Explorer and a technical report modeling three possible paths for the U.S. economy in 2030, ranging from mild disruption to an extreme case with 15% annual GDP growth and labor's share of GDP falling to 45.2%. The tool is presented as a risk map rather than a forecast, but its framing has drawn scrutiny over how it positions extreme outcomes and CEO warnings.